In my last news update I mentioned that in three of the past four Cheltenham Festivals we have won over +40 pts profit over the course of the week, and I asked whether we'd be on for another big week.
Forget making +40 pts, we just made over +140 pts during a magical week in which we backed the following winners:
Kopek Des Bordes (5/6)
Lossiemouth (10/11)
Haiti Couleurs (4/1)
Stumptown (4/1)
Marine Nationale (7/1)
Jazzy Matty (13/2)
Air Of Entitlement (16/1)
Fact To File (6/4)
Doddiethegreat (25/1)
Jagwar (5/1)
Kargese (12/1)
Dinoblue (6/4)
Inothewayurthinking 13/2 (and 2/1 w/o the fav)
Wodhooh (13/2)
The highlight of the week was our MAX bet Kargese landing the County Hurdle. On top of the strong single, we also backed her in a 233/1 winning double with Doddiethegreat, who won the Pertemps Final at odds of 25/1 the previous day!
The week started a little slow for us with Majborough (on at 10/3, went off 1/2) turned over in the Arkle and State Man suffering a cruel last-flight fall in the Champion Hurdle, when he was set to romp home.
Luck evened itself out though and once the racing moved to the New Course for the final two days of the Festival, we made up for last time and ended up with 14 of the 28 winners, along with Inothewayurthinkin in the without the fav Gold Cup market.
We are now looking forward to the start of the New turf season in two weeks time. If you are interested in joining the service, please find the sign-up options at the How To Join page!
How was your 2024 Cheltenham Festival? Are you buzzing for the 2025 Festival, which starts three weeks tomorrow (and runs from Tuesday 11th to Friday 14th March)? I am!
Northern Monkey Punter (NMP) members enjoyed an outstanding 2024 Festival with profit on each of the four days. For thethird time in four years members made over +40 pts profit over the course of the week.
We had 16 winners last year (two of which were in w/o fav markets) and made +43.36 pts profit from 82.25 pts staked (the service's staking scale is on a range of 0.25 - 3 pts, with an average stake of ca. 0.75 pt). The winners:
Slade Steel (5/1)
Chianti Classico (8/1)
Telmesomethinggirl (w/o fav) 13/2
State Man (11/4)
Ballyburn (4/1)
Fact To File (5/6)
Langer Dan (10/1)
Grey Dawning (5/2)
Protektorat (9/1)
Teahupoo (15/8)
Shakem Up'arry (10/1)
Majborough (16/1)
Galopin Des Champs (Evs)
Absurde (10/1)
Sine Nomine (16/1)
Sine Nomine (w/o fav) (6/1)
Our fantastic 2024 Festival haul was far from a one off:
In 2020 we made +40 pts NMP Festival profit
In 2021 we made +40 pts NMP Festival profit
In 2023 we made +20 pts NMP Festival profit
We're regularly backing a dozen winners of the 28 races across the course of the week and there istremendous potential for multiple chop offs considering we've almost gone through the card on one of the days at past Cheltenham Festivals, twice!
In 2018 Summerville Boy (9/1), Footpad (5/4), Coo Star Sivola (10/1), Benie Des Dieux (9/2), Rathvinden (12/1) and Mister Whitaker (8/1) all won on the same day for six of the seven winners on the Tuesday. The only winner we didn't back was the odds-on Buveur D'air in the Champion Hurdle (4/6).
Three years later, on the Wednesday, we again backed six of the seven winners. Bob Olinger (5/2), Monkfish (7/4), Heaven Help Us (33/1), Put The Kettle On (12/1), Sky Pirate (14/1) and Sir Gerhard (4/1) all did the business. Tiger Roll in the Cross-Country was the only winner that evaded us - we were on the second, Easysland.
Our best day last year was the Friday as Majborough (16/1), Absurde (10/1), Galopin Des Champs (Evs) & Sine Nomine (16/1) all won in the Triumph, County Hurdle, Cheltenham Gold Cup and Hunters' Chase, respectively!
Both options represent great value. The NMP Cheltenham Festival results in the last five years surely can't be rivalled by many other services operating out there? I'd love to know of any that can better my record!
I work hard every year, and we've been rewarded. I've grafted my nuts off again this year and we are building up an exciting ante post book by the day at the minute - lots of work goes in during the lead-up as we prepare for the big punting marathon! We back singles and multiples, ante post and on the day, at prices all across the odds spectrum - we've had winners like Sizing John (33/1) in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, Indefatigable (Martin Pipe 40/1) and Heaven Help Us (Coral Cup, 33/1), as well as the shorties!
Membership sign-up options for the 2025 NMP service can be found at the sign-up link.
Full season membership (1st December 2024 until 30th November 2025) is available with an early sign up discount for £225 and rolling one-month membership subscriptions are also available!
We banged in a lovely 14/1 winner on the Friday of the Breeders' Cup meeting last weekend in the Juvenile Turf Sprint - with Ger Lyons' Irish raider Magnum Force delivering the goods with a lovely run from off the pace under Colin Keane, snaking his way through the crowd and capitalising on a burn up.
The following bet reasoning was provided to members:
"MAGNUM FORCE caught my eye at York when beaten in a Listed race over 5f in August. It was fast ground that day and at that particular meeting those drawn low were at a huge advantage. Ger Lyons' raider had been stranded out in gate 16 on the stands' rail but he cruised through the race like an absolute tool. Colin Keane nursed him towards the faster ground on the far side of the track and he made headway through the pack, only to finish an unlucky (neck) loser behind Tropical Storm, who'd raced on the faster ground throughout from an advantageous, low draw. Magnum Force had been last off the bridle but he had to bide his time for a split from 2f to 1f out. He then stepped up to Group 2 company at Doncaster in the Flying Childers, but things didn't really set up to suit when racing on a straight track again. There was a positional bias in the race and the first two home finished closer to the stands' rail (Aesterius led home Big Mojo). Those two rivals reoppose here (and are 5/1 and 13/2, around second and third in the behind behind the Japanese rocket, Ecoro Sieg) but I had a look back through the other results on that particular Doncaster card and the other sprint races were similarly won by high drawn horses who kept closer to the near side than the centre of the track. I still think there could be better to come from Magnum Force. He might be closer matched with the aforementioned pair than the betting suggests, so I'm willing to give him another chance. Stall four is ideal if he can lay up with the pace at this turning track and sit just in behind what could be a generous pace if Aesterius, Whistlejacket and Ecoro Sieg all inject some pace into the race."
On the back of a superb September in which we made +31 pts profit (from 84 pts staked, +37% ROI), with winners advised at prices including 12/1, 15/2, 11/2, I've got an exciting sign-up offer for anyone looking to join my NMP service until the end of the 2024 season.
For £25 (sign-up payment button is below) you get all bets advised from now until the end of the season (the 2024 NMP service ends on the 30th November 2024).
E-mails will cover the following meetings (and more):
The Cesarewitch (12th October, Newmarket) - a race NMP has an OUTSTANDING, unrivalled tipping record in (more on this below)
The Champions Day meeting (19th October, Ascot) - including the Champions Sprint, a race I landed a 4,383/1 tricast in in the past (see tricast bet slip)
Melbourne Cup (1st November, Flemington)
Breeders Cup meeting (1st to 2nd November, Del Mar)
November Handicap meeting (9th November, Doncaster)
......a daily betting e-mail is sent to members (around 8.00 - 8.30 am usually) and even though the turf meetings thin out in November, we have an active interest in the AW and had a brilliant start to the jumps season last year, which we'll look to emulate this year too.
On Monday 7th October the five-day entries for the Cesarewitch come in. This is my favourite race of the year and, in the past decade, we've had the following returns in the race:
2014 - Big Easy (WON, 10/1)
2015 - Oriental Fox (2nd, 20/1, touched 1.31 in running)
2021 - Burning Victory (2nd, 12/1, touched 1.10 in running)
2022 - Run For Oscar (WON, 8/1, gamble landed, SP 4/1)
2023 - The Shunter (WON, 25/1, big multi gamble landed, SP 14/1)
2024......?????........
The Cesarewitch has, quite simply, been a goldmine to us over the years! I've applied my methods to this year's race and have a strong ante post fancy picked out. Fingers crossed he stands his ground when the five-day entries come in next week.
If you'd like to join NMP and try land another huge Ces gamble, I'd love to welcome you on board - please see the sign up link below.
NMP is a long-standing Smart Betting Club Hall of Fame Service and was voted BEST HORSE RACING TIPSTER at the SBC's Best Tipster Awards in 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018 and was second in the BEST HORSE RACING TIPSTER category at the 2021 awards.
My service suits members who are prepared to adopt a long-term approach to betting, as selections are horses that are believed to offer the best value in a race, not necessarily the horse with the best chance of winning. We also have stronger months than others, one month (and each year) can be different from the next!
I advocate using a betting bank of 100 pts to follow my service but would advise any new member to paper trial results initially whilst they get a feel for the service, and also, to only ever bet what they can afford to lose. If following the multiples sent out by the service, a larger-sized betting bank is recommended, to absorb the volatility and longer losing runs.
Members who are restricted to betting solely on the exchanges will struggle to replicate my profits, as horses generally shorten from their advised prices to SP or BSP - and access to bookmaker accounts is needed to make the most of the better place terms available with the firms (many bets are advised each-way).
I would politely advise prospective members who are restricted to betting solely on the exchanges not to join NMP as you will be disappointed over a lack of liquidity available to back selections when e-mails are sent (most bets arrive 8.00 to 8.30 am in the morning).
We've landed several other high-profile winners since my last news update.
Weekend nap Epic Poet won the Old Borough Cup at Haydock (9/2) and then we had the winners of the Portland (American Affair,7/1) and Bold Lad (My Mate Alfie, 12/1) sprint handicaps at Doncaster and the Curragh last weekend (including in a 102/1 double on both, which was advised to members!
We are soon set to enter the final few months of the season now. If you'd like to come on board, please find all details on thehow to join section of the site.
